04 Dec

Businomics Newsletter, December 2018: Growth Still Limited by Supply

By Bill Conerly

What’s New, December 2018

When You Do a SWOT … do you ask your customers what they think your strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats are? If so, please shoot me an email. (Expected responses: zero.)

Happy Holidays Wishing you and your family a life of meaning and purpose.

The Flexible Stance review: “He provides insightful examples and recommendations for leaders looking to grow their companies when the only thing than can count on is change…”

Selected Articles from Forbes.com

Jerome Powell And The Interest Rate Forecast: Yes, They Are Going Up

How To Find Employees From Businesses That Are Cutting Back

Why Are Oil Prices Dropping Sharply? Global Economy Forecasts Lowered

Download PDFs: Northwest Version (includes U.S.) or U.S. only

Helping business leaders make better decisions through a better understanding of the economy.

Sincerely,

Bill Conerly
Conerly Consulting

Bill Conerly

Previous Issues

Businomics Newsletter, November 2018: Good Growth in U.S. Economy
Businomics Newsletter, October 2018: Economy Limited By Supply
Businomics Newsletter, September 2018: Another Solid Month
Businomics Newsletter, August 2018: A Big Quarter for GDP
Businomics Newsletter, July 2018: Good, Not Great
Businomics Newsletter, June 2018: Another Good Month
Businomics Newsletter, May 2018: Another Decent Quarter for GDP
Businomics Newsletter, April 2018: Forecasts Revised Upward Again
Businomics Newsletter, March 2018: Some Upside Potential
Businomics Newsletter, February 2018: Another Good Quarter

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Bill’s Forbes Articles

Jerome Powell And The Interest Rate Forecast: Yes, They Are Going Up December 1, 2018
Wall Street liked Federal Reserve Chairman Powell’s hint that maybe interest rates would not be pushed up too aggressively. But interest rate hikes are coming; the low-rate view misunderstands the Fed's approach.

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We asked Bill Conerly to look at one of the major factors limiting the growth of our business. He pulled together data from a wide range of sources, as well as his own extensive business knowledge, to give us an insight into when conditions would improve and how we could be ready to capitalize on better times. He did so in a straight forward, easy to understand manner. A year later it was clear that things had evolved just as he had forecast. Ever since then he’s been my go-to guy on how the e…

Len Ludwig, former CEO, Vencore Capital LLC

On multiple occasions we have engaged Dr. Conerly to facilitate, and more importantly, stimulate strategic planning sessions. He artfully brings the complexity of economic consequences to light, and is also is a veteran voice of objectivity. And his ability to inject humor keeps the energy and teamwork a priority!

Greg Newton, CFO, Cascade Bancorp

Bill did a great job. We look forward to a continuing relationship.

John Hamburger, Franchise Times

As you know, it can be difficult to find economists who provide good substantive information who are so entertaining and engaging. I received many enthusiastic comments from members and others in attendance. I was very pleased with Dr. Conerly and have recommended him to NCSTAE, our national organization.

Molly Steckel, Idaho Telecom Alliance

The ratings you received from our banker evaluations were among the highest I’ve seen, which matched my impressions exactly. Your presentation style is quite engaging, you bring interesting and valuable content, and our ability to interact in a stimulating way during “Q&A” sessions makes you a valuable addition to any meeting agenda. As a bonus, you are a genuinely enjoyable participant in conference activities beyond your presentation.

Steve Yeakel, Montana Independent Bankers

Seems no matter where I go, I hear you talking – and always doing a great job with different material well tailored to the audience. Very impressive!

Alan Shiffer, World Vision

Bill Conerly has been an invaluable resource to our executive team and ownership by delivering superior, well-founded ideas that are critical to navigating the current economic climate within the construction industry. Bill assisted O.B. Williams Company with developing a strong business plan that we implemented 18 months ago. As a result and together with Bill, we are improving our position within our highly competitive market segment. We understand that navigating this current economy is indee…

David Wick, CEO, O.B. Williams Company

Our audience of local business and community leaders not only valued the economic data you provided, but they really appreciated that you made it applicable to their businesses, their personal lives and moreover – that you presented it in a clear and entertaining manner.

Scott Boyer, Mountain Pacific Bank

Bill Conerly is one of the most interesting and engaging speakers I have ever heard. The fact that he is a very funny man is a bonus.

James A. Kronenberg, Oregon Medical Association

Bill assisted O.B. Williams Company with developing a strong business plan that we implemented 18 months ago. As a result and together with Bill, we are improving our position within our highly competitive market segment.

David Wick, CEO, O.B. Williams Company (wood products)