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  • Behind the Stock Market

Investments

21 Apr 2007

Behind the Stock Market

  • By Bill Conerly
  • In Investments
  • 1 comment

I’ve been ho-humming while everyone else is swooning.  Yes, the market is up.  Gee, though, this doesn’t feel like a boom to me.  The market is up 15 percent from a year ago, which is very nice, and above average.  But somehow it doesn’t FEEL like a boom. 

Key metrics in boom-feel: go into a bar during business hours and look at the TV: tuned to stocks, it’s a boom.  Tuned to a ball game, not a boom. 

What does the next door neighbor talk about?  Stocks, its a boom.  The Trailblazer’s dismal performance, not a boom.

People say, "The market is up–and this times everything is different!" it’s a boom. "The market is up–is it poised for a correction?"  It’s not a boom.

Barry Ritholtz has a good summary:  it’s global markets pushing U.S. stocks up.

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Bill Conerly

    Comments

  1. Shane Milburn
    April 22, 2007

    Bill, I agree completely. This market has “felt” fake to me for about 4 months. Right now more folks I talk to (not that many btw) are worried about a pull-back than further appreciation. The contrarian in me says that’s healthy for the market overall, but I keep thinking macro factors have to weigh in at some point. Too much of the economy is tied up in housing market problems, energy costs, currency devaluation/inflation, lending risks, etc.

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