Investment Returns in 2007
One thing I like about the Capital Spectator is Jim’s regular presentation of investment returns by asset class. Here’s what happened in 2007:
When I reproduce these, I assume that all Businomics blog readers are smart enough to know that past performance does not tell you what 2008 holds in store. My best guess: top performers will be U.S. stocks and foreign developed stocks. (Note: stock market forecasts are presented for entertainment purposes only and should not be used for investments.)
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Alternative investment returns for 2007 were spectacular at Dutch pension funds ABP and PME, but the fourth quarter of the year as well as poor returns from equities indicated that the good times could be over. For the 216bn ABP, its alternatives were its highest performing asset class,…
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Here’s our market view on American stock market for 17th October, 2008
The major stock averages had another dramatic day of swings yesterday, the Dow reversing from down 380 in the morning to close up 401 points. The averages finished just shy of their highs of the session and the NASDAQ Composite led the way.
Stocks briefly rose at the opening, then reversed lower as a plunge in the October Philly Fed index (reported -37.5 v. estimated -10) and disappointing reading on September industrial production (reported -2.8% v. estimated -0.8%) weighed heavily. Follow-through selling from Wednesday was also a likely factor adding to the pressure on stocks.
The measures of fear again reached record levels in the morning plunge. The CBOE Volatility Index, the VIX, and the CBOE NASDAQ 100 volatility indicator both rose to new intraday all-time highs of 81.17 and 84.62, respectively. Stocks steadily slid to their late morning lows. At that point, the DJIA was down 380 and the NASDAQ 62 point and the internals of the market were overwhelmingly negative for both the NYSE and NASDAQ.
From the lows, the Dow rallied more than 500 points in an hour, gave back 200 points from their early afternoon peaks and settled into narrow ranges. A late acceleration sparked another 500-point rally up to the close. With the stock market successfully holding onto to their gains, the VIX and NASDAQ Volatility indexes eased back into their closes. The broad market finished solidly positive. Volume picked up substantially from the previous day’s low levels.
Today – Volatility will also rise as a significant amount of options expire in a triple-witching session. The opening looks lower.
ThePowerStocks.com Team
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