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Public Policy

15 Dec 2016

What State Government Can Do About Economic Uncertainty

  • By Bill Conerly
  • In Business Strategy, Economy, Public Policy
I testified before the Oregon legislature regarding uncertainty about the economy and state revenue forecast. The entire session, including two great fellow economists, Tim Duy and Andrew Dyke, can be seen here. Or watch just me below:
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28 Nov 2016

Brexit and Donald Trump

  • By Bill Conerly
  • In Public Policy
One of the best explanations of free-trade motivations for Brexit is in this Reason interview with Daniel Hannan. This Englishman said, “Your founders had someone very like Donald Trump in mind when they designed all these checks and balances.”  
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01 Apr 2016

Get Ready for President Clinton

  • By Bill Conerly
  • In Business Strategy, Economy, Investments, Public Policy
We're still months away from the election, but my favorite political forecaster, Larry Sabato, has drilled down to important realities in The Electoral College: The Only Thing That Matters. He notes that it's too early to call the contest, but
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17 Dec 2015

The Presidency and the Economy

  • By Bill Conerly
  • In Economy, Public Policy
I don't incorporate much politics into my economic forecasts. I'm no better than average at predicting electoral outcomes. Even if I knew who was going to win, I wouldn't know what that person would do as president. (I didn't expect
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03 Sep 2015

Political Outlook 2016

  • By Bill Conerly
  • In Public Policy
The most interesting pollster is Larry Sabato, who recently had this to say about the presidential candidates: … most of them are human tape recorders. On the top 25 or 30 issues, each has memorized a paragraph or two;
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21 Sep 2014

Correlation and Causation: A Great Reminder

  • By Bill Conerly
  • In Business Strategy, Economy, Public Policy
We've heard it (and I've said it) thousands of times: correlation does not mean causation. Yet we still make the mistake (and I do mean "we"). Tyler Vigen has developed a correlation machine. He has scraped lots and lots of
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02 Dec 2013

Should Economists Talk About Redistribution?

  • By Bill Conerly
  • In Public Policy
  • 1 comment
A distinguished economist was disqualified for an Obama administration appointment because she had talked about the need for redistribution policies. Rebecca Blank, a highly regarded researcher on poverty and inequality, had been considered to chair the President’s Council of Economic
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30 Aug 2013

Who Pays No Taxes?

  • By Bill Conerly
  • In Economy, Public Policy
  • 1 comment
The Urban Institute's Tax Policy Center has a nice whiteboard video explaining who pays no federal income tax. The tone is liberal, but it is factually accurate. (I have not double-checked their facts, but it is consisent with my recollection
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07 Mar 2013

Mostly Blogging at Forbes.com

  • By Bill Conerly
  • In Business Strategy, Economy, Public Policy
I was just asked why I'm not blogging much anymore. I am, but it's mostly on the Conerly Forbes.com page. Here's a list of recent articles: Easier Business Credit: 4 Strategies for Corporations and Small Business Good News from
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04 Jan 2013

What do prices know that you don’t know?

  • By Bill Conerly
  • In Economy, Public Policy
Mike Munger asks that question in a great little video. He's a Duke professor; the school has made good progress since I was there.  
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  • Inflation Has Not Shown Up Yet, But It’s Coming February 25, 2021
    Inflation is muted, but not for long. Inflation is coming in the next two years, then will be followed by a boom/bust business cycle, or maybe two.

Testimonials

Bill assisted O.B. Williams Company with developing a strong business plan that we implemented 18 months ago. As a result and together with Bill, we are improving our position within our highly competitive market segment.
David Wick, CEO, O.B. Williams Company (wood products)
On multiple occasions we have engaged Dr. Conerly to facilitate, and more importantly, stimulate strategic planning sessions. He artfully brings the complexity of economic consequences to light, and is also is a veteran voice of objectivity. And his ability to inject humor keeps the energy and teamwork a priority!
Greg Newton, CFO, Cascade Bancorp
Bill is a delight and easy to work with. The client thought he was great and delivered value to their group. I would definitely recommend Bill.
Andrea Gold, Gold Stars Speakers Bureau
Dr. Conerly’s presentation and view of the economic conditions impacting the world of business is insightful and thought-provoking. His analysis and presentation style is audience focused and engaging, leading to the efficient development of follow-up activities by those in attendance.
Paul Ulrich, The Inteplast Group (plastic bags)
You are a master at your craft and a favorite of our audience.
Jim Parker, UBS Financial Services
Every time you spoke, we got business.
Chris Rasmussen, Washington Trust Bank, Bank of the Northwest
Seems no matter where I go, I hear you talking – and always doing a great job with different material well tailored to the audience. Very impressive!
Alan Shiffer, World Vision
Bill Conerly is one of the most interesting and engaging speakers I have ever heard. The fact that he is a very funny man is a bonus.
James A. Kronenberg, Oregon Medical Association
You made a complicated global picture understandable. I have received many favorable comments from those in attendance. I frequently heard comments like ‘Now I understand’ or ‘Wow, now I get it’ and ‘He was great to listen to. Thanks for bringing Bill to our meeting.’
Pete Van Sickle, Idaho Department of Lands
Bill Conerly has been an invaluable resource to our executive team and ownership by delivering superior, well-founded ideas that are critical to navigating the current economic climate within the construction industry. Bill assisted O.B. Williams Company with developing a strong business plan that we implemented 18 months ago. As a result and together with Bill, we are improving our position within our highly competitive market segment. We understand that navigating this current economy is indee…
David Wick, CEO, O.B. Williams Company

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