I testified before the Oregon legislature regarding uncertainty about the economy and state revenue forecast.
The entire session, including two great fellow economists, Tim Duy and Andrew Dyke, can be seen here.
Or watch just me below:
One of the best explanations of free-trade motivations for Brexit is in this Reason interview with Daniel Hannan.
This Englishman said, “Your founders had someone very like Donald Trump in mind when they designed all these checks and balances.”
We're still months away from the election, but my favorite political forecaster, Larry Sabato, has drilled down to important realities in The Electoral College: The Only Thing That Matters. He notes that it's too early to call the contest, but
I don't incorporate much politics into my economic forecasts. I'm no better than average at predicting electoral outcomes. Even if I knew who was going to win, I wouldn't know what that person would do as president. (I didn't expect
The most interesting pollster is Larry Sabato, who recently had this to say about the presidential candidates:
… most of them are human tape recorders. On the top 25 or 30 issues, each has memorized a paragraph or two;
We've heard it (and I've said it) thousands of times: correlation does not mean causation.
Yet we still make the mistake (and I do mean "we").
Tyler Vigen has developed a correlation machine. He has scraped lots and lots of
A distinguished economist was disqualified for an Obama administration appointment because she had talked about the need for redistribution policies. Rebecca Blank, a highly regarded researcher on poverty and inequality, had been considered to chair the President’s Council of Economic
The Urban Institute's Tax Policy Center has a nice whiteboard video explaining who pays no federal income tax. The tone is liberal, but it is factually accurate. (I have not double-checked their facts, but it is consisent with my recollection
I was just asked why I'm not blogging much anymore. I am, but it's mostly on the Conerly Forbes.com page.
Here's a list of recent articles:
Easier Business Credit: 4 Strategies for Corporations and Small Business
Good News from
Mike Munger asks that question in a great little video. He's a Duke professor; the school has made good progress since I was there.